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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+6.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97+7.97vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+5.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.54+7.86vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.42+5.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+4.74vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.48-3.27vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.46+4.02vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-3.30vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.42-2.26vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.86-4.64vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-6.74vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-4.12vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.97-7.58vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.01-5.11vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.69vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.20-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Yale University1.908.8%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.435.8%1st Place
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10.97Boston University0.973.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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12.86Tufts University0.541.5%1st Place
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11.87Fairfield University0.422.4%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.9%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University2.4817.3%1st Place
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13.02Olin College of Engineering0.461.7%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.068.8%1st Place
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8.74Brown University1.425.7%1st Place
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7.36Brown University1.866.2%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.0910.5%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University1.594.8%1st Place
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7.42Boston College1.977.3%1st Place
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10.89Brown University1.013.1%1st Place
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13.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.7%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.204.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Henry Lee | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Macken | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 22.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.