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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+5.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+6.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+7.72vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+4.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.89vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+4.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+1.27vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-0.16vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.28+2.97vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.56+0.73vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-4.02vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-3.66vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin4.10-5.09vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-5.60vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-6.30vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.98-7.11vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.99-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.89University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.22College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.84Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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12.97SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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11.73Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.34Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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9.89Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% |
| Mac Mace | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% |
| William Haeger | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 23.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.9% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Sam Williams | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Colin Smith | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.