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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University4.01+8.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+6.31vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+4.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+5.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.83+5.27vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+5.28vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56+4.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+1.29vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-2.56vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-0.48vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-1.05vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-4.05vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-4.32vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.06-4.85vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-8.39vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.23vs Predicted
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17University of Miami3.99-7.15vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.98Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
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11.28College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.54Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.68Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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12.77SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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11.66University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Paiva | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
| William Haeger | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Colin Smith | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Sam Williams | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Randall Hartranft | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 19.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% |
| Will Stocke | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.