Race 8B

nu-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Styslinger 49.4% 28.4% 12.8% 6.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fergus Munro 12.8% 15.8% 21.0% 19.0% 13.5% 10.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Alex Strassberg Alonso 11.6% 17.1% 17.2% 17.3% 16.6% 9.8% 7.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Rachel Ward 9.6% 14.8% 17.2% 17.5% 15.8% 11.7% 8.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Connor Caplis 4.2% 4.8% 8.4% 9.8% 11.8% 15.4% 16.9% 15.2% 10.4% 3.1%
Luke Sadalla 2.0% 3.8% 4.0% 6.3% 8.2% 10.5% 17.1% 21.0% 18.5% 8.6%
Samantha Forgosh 6.8% 8.3% 10.9% 12.5% 15.3% 17.6% 14.8% 9.2% 3.6% 0.8%
Luiza Wernz Muller 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 2.9% 4.8% 5.9% 10.3% 19.1% 52.8%
Brady Boland 1.0% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 5.9% 6.3% 9.8% 14.9% 28.2% 26.1%
Garrison Guzzeau 2.0% 4.3% 5.1% 6.2% 7.8% 13.1% 14.8% 20.8% 17.5% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.