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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.03+5.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.96+6.84vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95+2.88vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+2.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.70+1.87vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+0.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.24+1.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26+0.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16+1.12vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.48+0.76vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.57-4.00vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.45-8.04vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.85-7.18vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-4.89vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.59-4.35vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.39vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.92-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Brown University2.039.2%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.514.5%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University0.963.6%1st Place
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6.88Boston College1.958.8%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College1.847.6%1st Place
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7.87Yale University1.706.7%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University1.607.2%1st Place
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9.43Brown University1.245.0%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.263.5%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University1.163.1%1st Place
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11.76Boston University0.482.0%1st Place
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8.0North Carolina State University1.577.0%1st Place
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4.96Harvard University2.4514.4%1st Place
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6.82Brown University1.8510.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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11.65Fairfield University0.592.4%1st Place
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15.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.6%1st Place
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15.98Olin College of Engineering-0.920.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| William Wiegand | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 28.1% | 35.4% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 20.1% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.