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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+6.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.03+4.30vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+4.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+5.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+6.02vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.45-1.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+0.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48+3.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.24+0.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.96+0.12vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.59+0.46vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.05-2.13vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.95-6.03vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.60-6.11vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.85-7.96vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.92+0.04vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.26-7.25vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Yale University1.706.2%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.039.2%1st Place
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7.88North Carolina State University1.577.0%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University1.514.9%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.163.1%1st Place
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4.98Harvard University2.4514.0%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College1.848.3%1st Place
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11.79Boston University0.482.4%1st Place
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9.41Brown University1.245.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University0.964.2%1st Place
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11.46Fairfield University0.593.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island1.054.2%1st Place
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6.97Boston College1.958.0%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University1.606.7%1st Place
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7.04Brown University1.858.2%1st Place
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16.04Olin College of Engineering-0.920.4%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University1.264.3%1st Place
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15.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Robby Meek | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Olin Guck | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 21.3% | 48.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 25.3% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.