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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+7.02vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.99+6.89vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+5.85vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+1.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+3.25vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-0.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.56+3.38vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.36-1.06vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.28+2.86vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.43-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin4.10-2.52vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-3.81vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.69-3.39vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.64-3.85vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-4.14vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.83-6.50vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University4.01-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.02Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.85Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.38Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.86SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.61Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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11.15College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| William Haeger | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% |
| Brendan Kopp | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Randall Hartranft | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 20.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
| Mac Mace | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% |
| Will Stocke | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.