← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.16+10.13vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.96+8.09vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.45+1.97vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.24+5.36vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.57+3.12vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.03+0.33vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.26+2.82vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.51+1.51vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.85-1.93vs Predicted
-
10Boston College1.95-3.34vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.60-3.35vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.70-3.96vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.05-2.94vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering-0.92+1.97vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University0.59-3.22vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.48-4.34vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.70vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College1.84-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.13Tufts University1.162.9%1st Place
-
10.09Tufts University0.963.3%1st Place
-
4.97Harvard University2.4514.4%1st Place
-
9.36Brown University1.244.9%1st Place
-
8.12North Carolina State University1.575.7%1st Place
-
6.33Brown University2.0311.3%1st Place
-
9.82Northeastern University1.263.7%1st Place
-
9.51Tufts University1.514.8%1st Place
-
7.07Brown University1.858.1%1st Place
-
6.66Boston College1.959.7%1st Place
-
7.65Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
-
8.04Yale University1.706.2%1st Place
-
10.06University of Rhode Island1.053.9%1st Place
-
15.97Olin College of Engineering-0.920.4%1st Place
-
11.78Fairfield University0.592.1%1st Place
-
11.66Boston University0.482.6%1st Place
-
15.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.7%1st Place
-
7.49Bowdoin College1.848.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Robby Meek | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 20.8% | 48.7% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 26.2% | 33.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.