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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.71vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.28+10.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.88vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+5.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+2.56vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36+0.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.99+0.42vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64+1.20vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-4.57vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.90-1.86vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.56-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-2.85vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-7.76vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-6.51vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin4.10-7.88vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.23-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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12.65SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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8.88Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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11.2College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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11.15Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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12.42Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Randall Hartranft | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| William Haeger | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Mac Mace | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.