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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+8.51vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+4.93vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.24+6.37vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+6.07vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.45-0.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.70+2.01vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+0.73vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.57+0.08vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26+0.73vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.85-3.16vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.03-4.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.96-1.94vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.84-5.41vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.48-2.19vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.16-4.00vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.59-4.30vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.03vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Tufts University1.514.5%1st Place
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6.93Boston College1.959.2%1st Place
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9.37Brown University1.243.9%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island1.054.3%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University2.4515.7%1st Place
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8.01Yale University1.706.5%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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8.08North Carolina State University1.576.9%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University1.263.5%1st Place
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6.84Brown University1.858.9%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.0310.0%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University0.963.6%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College1.846.9%1st Place
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11.81Boston University0.482.4%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University1.163.2%1st Place
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11.7Fairfield University0.592.6%1st Place
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15.97Olin College of Engineering-0.920.4%1st Place
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15.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Olin Guck | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Robby Meek | 15.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Wiegand | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 3.7% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 21.6% | 47.6% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 24.4% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.