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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+7.10vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+4.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+4.93vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+2.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+3.14vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+4.57vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.90+1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin4.10-0.10vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.99-1.37vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.09vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.80vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.56-3.08vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.64-4.07vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-7.35vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-4.24vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.28-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.57University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.92Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.93College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.65Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.76Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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12.25SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% |
| Mac Mace | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 19.7% |
| Randall Hartranft | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.