← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.84+6.56vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.96+8.20vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.26+6.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.05+5.86vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.24+4.38vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.03+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.45-2.12vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.57+0.08vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.95-2.08vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.16+1.24vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.51-1.54vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.60-4.07vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University0.59-1.26vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.85-6.99vs Predicted
-
15Yale University1.70-7.07vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.56-4.45vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.66vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.56Bowdoin College1.846.3%1st Place
-
10.2Tufts University0.963.4%1st Place
-
9.68Northeastern University1.264.0%1st Place
-
9.86University of Rhode Island1.054.3%1st Place
-
9.38Brown University1.244.9%1st Place
-
6.18Brown University2.0310.8%1st Place
-
4.88Harvard University2.4514.9%1st Place
-
8.08North Carolina State University1.576.0%1st Place
-
6.92Boston College1.958.2%1st Place
-
11.24Tufts University1.162.8%1st Place
-
9.46Tufts University1.514.8%1st Place
-
7.93Roger Williams University1.606.2%1st Place
-
11.74Fairfield University0.593.0%1st Place
-
7.01Brown University1.859.1%1st Place
-
7.93Yale University1.706.6%1st Place
-
11.55Boston University0.563.2%1st Place
-
15.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.9%1st Place
-
16.07Olin College of Engineering-0.920.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Olin Guck | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Roman | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 25.9% | 34.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 19.8% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.