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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.16+9.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+5.01vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+5.96vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.95+1.73vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60+1.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51+2.66vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.45-3.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.03-2.75vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.70-2.04vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.59+0.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.96-1.87vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.24-3.86vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.26-4.36vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.84-7.35vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.56-4.21vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.06vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95Tufts University1.162.9%1st Place
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7.01Brown University1.858.6%1st Place
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8.08North Carolina State University1.576.4%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island1.053.9%1st Place
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6.73Boston College1.959.2%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University1.607.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.514.2%1st Place
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4.98Harvard University2.4514.8%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.0310.2%1st Place
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7.96Yale University1.707.5%1st Place
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11.76Fairfield University0.592.5%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University0.963.9%1st Place
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9.14Brown University1.245.1%1st Place
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9.64Northeastern University1.264.2%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College1.846.5%1st Place
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11.79Boston University0.562.1%1st Place
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15.94Olin College of Engineering-0.920.4%1st Place
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15.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 21.9% | 45.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 24.1% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.