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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+8.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+7.05vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+6.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+3.96vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+4.59vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+3.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98+0.70vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.43-1.97vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-4.31vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-0.47vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-3.79vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-4.75vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.56-3.55vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-6.53vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.28-4.25vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.05Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.64University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.7Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.53College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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11.45Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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11.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| William Haeger | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% |
| Colin Smith | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Mac Mace | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% |
| Sam Williams | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Randall Hartranft | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 20.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.