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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+8.64vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+2.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16+8.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.85+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05+4.74vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.95+0.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.03-0.75vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-0.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.24+0.36vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.57-1.87vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.26-1.28vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.59-0.33vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.60-5.15vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.96-3.83vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.32vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.70-7.93vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.92-0.93vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.48-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Tufts University1.513.8%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University2.4515.7%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University1.163.5%1st Place
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7.02Brown University1.858.3%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island1.054.7%1st Place
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6.85Boston College1.958.6%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.0310.9%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College1.846.2%1st Place
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9.36Brown University1.244.3%1st Place
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8.13North Carolina State University1.576.6%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University1.263.7%1st Place
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11.67Fairfield University0.592.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University1.607.1%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University0.965.0%1st Place
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15.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.7%1st Place
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8.07Yale University1.705.9%1st Place
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16.07Olin College of Engineering-0.920.7%1st Place
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11.77Boston University0.482.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Robby Meek | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Jack Roman | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 27.3% | 32.6% |
| Alex Adams | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 20.2% | 50.1% |
| William Wiegand | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.