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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.67+5.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+4.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.70+5.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+2.47vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+5.51vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.48+3.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67+2.07vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-0.58vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.95-0.83vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.70-0.83vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.72-1.71vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.88-3.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.18vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.75vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.00-2.97vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-5.39vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.69-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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6.62Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.92University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.07Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.17College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.29Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.03SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.61Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Aras | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Ben Spector | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Alex Cook | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Ted Green | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 22.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% |
| David Hernandez | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.