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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+8.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.60vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.48+8.19vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+5.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.67+1.00vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.70+3.98vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+3.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.69+1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36+1.76vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.00+1.99vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.95-2.76vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.85vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-2.80vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-6.52vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.30-8.46vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.70-6.82vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.19University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.81Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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12.99SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.2Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Graham Landy | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Evan Aras | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| David Hernandez | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% |
| Ted Green | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 24.1% |
| Ben Spector | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Michael Grove | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.