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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+3.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+5.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.24+6.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.85+2.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.95+1.83vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57+2.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16+4.28vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.59+3.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51+0.63vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.03-3.62vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.60-3.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.96-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-3.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.48-2.29vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.70-7.18vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.92+0.02vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.26-7.16vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Harvard University2.4515.5%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College1.846.9%1st Place
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9.06Brown University1.245.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University1.859.2%1st Place
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6.83Boston College1.958.2%1st Place
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8.23North Carolina State University1.575.7%1st Place
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11.28Tufts University1.163.1%1st Place
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11.86Fairfield University0.592.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.514.8%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.039.6%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University1.606.4%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University0.963.9%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island1.054.3%1st Place
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11.71Boston University0.482.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University1.707.8%1st Place
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16.02Olin College of Engineering-0.920.7%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.263.9%1st Place
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15.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 15.5% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Olin Guck | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| William Wiegand | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Alex Adams | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 22.0% | 46.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 24.4% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.