← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.67+5.20vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.52vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.95+6.16vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.55+2.41vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.48+5.81vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.72+3.91vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.67+3.12vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University4.31-0.63vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.70+1.03vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.35+1.77vs Predicted
-
11Brown University4.30-3.41vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami3.69-1.56vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College4.05-4.65vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.88-5.14vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.70-5.05vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin3.36-4.50vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.75vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.00-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
-
9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
9.16College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
6.41Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
10.81University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
-
9.91Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.12Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
-
7.37Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
10.03Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
-
11.77Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
7.59Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
10.44University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
-
8.35Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
8.86Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
9.95Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
10.25U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
12.77SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Aras | 10.1% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Ben Spector | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| David Hernandez | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Alex Cook | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% |
| Michael Grove | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Ted Green | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.