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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.95+5.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.24+6.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+7.69vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26+4.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.03+0.32vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+0.47vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.45-3.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-1.06vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.59+1.95vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.16+0.40vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.05-2.03vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22+0.34vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.70-6.06vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.48-3.19vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.85-9.06vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.37vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.57-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Boston College1.959.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.514.4%1st Place
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9.23Brown University1.245.1%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University0.691.8%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University1.264.2%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.0310.9%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College1.848.5%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University2.4514.5%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University1.606.6%1st Place
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11.95Fairfield University0.592.1%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University1.162.8%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island1.054.2%1st Place
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13.34Olin College of Engineering0.221.5%1st Place
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7.94Yale University1.706.5%1st Place
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11.81Boston University0.482.8%1st Place
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6.94Brown University1.858.6%1st Place
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15.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.5%1st Place
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8.2North Carolina State University1.575.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 14.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 6.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Olin Guck | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 17.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| William Wiegand | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 49.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.