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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+3.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.03+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+5.90vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+6.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.24+3.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.26+3.02vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.70+0.13vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.85-2.14vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.95-3.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.16+0.09vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.60-4.12vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22+0.38vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.57-5.73vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.84-7.47vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-0.40vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.48-5.14vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.59-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Harvard University2.4514.8%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.514.6%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.0310.3%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University0.692.1%1st Place
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9.44Brown University1.244.9%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.264.5%1st Place
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8.13Yale University1.706.7%1st Place
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6.86Brown University1.859.2%1st Place
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6.86Boston College1.959.3%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University1.162.8%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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13.38Olin College of Engineering0.221.6%1st Place
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8.27North Carolina State University1.575.1%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College1.847.5%1st Place
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15.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.7%1st Place
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11.86Boston University0.482.2%1st Place
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11.82Fairfield University0.592.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Alex Adams | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| James Jagielski | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 15.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 50.6% |
| William Wiegand | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.