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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+6.63vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+8.19vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.57vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+1.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+4.15vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.48+3.95vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.05vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.00+3.94vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-2.31vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.67-4.96vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.88-2.41vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.95-4.20vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-4.33vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.69-4.98vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-4.43vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.47vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.70-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.19Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.45Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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12.94SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.69Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.04Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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9.59Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.78Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Graham Landy | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Michael Grove | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Ted Green | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 21.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Evan Aras | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Cook | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| David Hernandez | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.