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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.67+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.10+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.31+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.02+0.28vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.44+1.97vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.04+0.16vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-2.68+1.77vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.17-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.03vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.55-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Wisconsin1.6748.5%1st Place
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3.91University of Chicago0.1012.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Minnesota0.3113.7%1st Place
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4.28University of Michigan0.029.2%1st Place
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6.97Northwestern University-1.442.8%1st Place
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6.16University of Michigan-1.043.0%1st Place
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8.77Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.5%1st Place
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6.41Northwestern University-1.173.3%1st Place
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7.97University of Saint Thomas-2.160.8%1st Place
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5.01Northwestern University-0.556.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Styslinger | 48.5% | 27.6% | 15.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alex Strassberg Alonso | 12.2% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Fergus Munro | 13.7% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Rachel Ward | 9.2% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Luke Sadalla | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 9.2% |
Connor Caplis | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 19.9% | 52.0% |
Azim Usmanov | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 5.8% |
Brady Boland | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 25.4% | 27.8% |
Samantha Forgosh | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.