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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+3.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.03+4.26vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+7.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+5.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+2.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85+1.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.24+2.24vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.59+3.87vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.22+4.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16+1.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56+0.74vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.84-4.32vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.26-3.31vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.70-5.96vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.57-6.82vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-0.36vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-5.51vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.95-11.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Harvard University2.4516.0%1st Place
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6.26Brown University2.0310.8%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.514.7%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University1.607.2%1st Place
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7.14Brown University1.857.8%1st Place
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9.24Brown University1.244.5%1st Place
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11.87Fairfield University0.592.3%1st Place
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13.32Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University1.162.5%1st Place
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11.74Boston University0.563.4%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College1.846.6%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.263.7%1st Place
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8.04Yale University1.707.7%1st Place
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8.18North Carolina State University1.575.8%1st Place
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15.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.7%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University0.692.6%1st Place
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6.96Boston College1.958.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Jack Roman | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 15.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Alex Adams | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 48.6% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.