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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+10.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+8.17vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.95+6.08vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.69+4.90vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+5.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30+0.34vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72+1.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.31-1.76vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.67-3.89vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.48+0.04vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-3.26vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-3.16vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.48-3.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.02vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.70-5.98vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.66vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.00-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.55Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.08College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.76Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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11.04University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.84Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.54Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.61SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Ben Spector | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Graham Landy | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| David Hernandez | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Evan Aras | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% |
| Michael Grove | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Ted Green | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.