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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+9.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.67+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.36+8.64vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+4.77vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+5.75vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.20vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30+0.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-0.76vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.70+0.98vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-3.39vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-1.08vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.48-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.69-4.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-3.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.88vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.70-6.93vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.00-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.25Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
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9.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.68University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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12.63SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Evan Aras | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Graham Landy | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% |
| David Hernandez | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% |
| Michael Grove | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| Ted Green | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.