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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.03+5.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+6.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95+2.84vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85+1.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.16+5.47vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57+1.03vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.70+0.11vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-1.16vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-2.36vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-1.42vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.24-2.60vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22+0.28vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-2.33vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.26-5.17vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.56-4.00vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.47vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.59-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Brown University2.0310.5%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University2.4517.2%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island1.053.9%1st Place
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6.84Boston College1.958.4%1st Place
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6.93Brown University1.858.2%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.162.9%1st Place
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8.03North Carolina State University1.576.6%1st Place
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8.11Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University1.607.5%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College1.846.6%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.514.5%1st Place
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9.4Brown University1.244.4%1st Place
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13.28Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University0.692.2%1st Place
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9.83Northeastern University1.264.3%1st Place
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12.0Boston University0.562.1%1st Place
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15.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.9%1st Place
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11.8Fairfield University0.591.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 17.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Roman | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 51.5% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.