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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+10.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+4.58vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+4.71vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.70+4.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+3.92vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+2.95vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36+2.36vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.67-3.85vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.64vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.52vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-3.35vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.05-5.90vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.48-4.16vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-5.90vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.00-4.08vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.48-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.54Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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6.55Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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6.15Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Graham Landy | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Ben Spector | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| David Hernandez | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| Evan Aras | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Ted Green | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 21.8% |
| Briana Provancha | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.