← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.84+6.58vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.03+4.42vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.51+6.49vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.57+4.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.05+5.05vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.16+5.26vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.26+2.95vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.60-0.05vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.95-2.11vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.24-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Yale University1.70-3.08vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.45-7.19vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.85-6.06vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.67vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.56-3.00vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University0.59-3.97vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University0.69-5.65vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.58Bowdoin College1.848.0%1st Place
-
6.42Brown University2.0310.1%1st Place
-
9.49Tufts University1.514.5%1st Place
-
8.03North Carolina State University1.576.3%1st Place
-
10.05University of Rhode Island1.053.5%1st Place
-
11.26Tufts University1.162.9%1st Place
-
9.95Northeastern University1.264.0%1st Place
-
7.95Roger Williams University1.606.5%1st Place
-
6.89Boston College1.958.9%1st Place
-
9.26Brown University1.245.1%1st Place
-
7.92Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
-
4.81Harvard University2.4517.0%1st Place
-
6.94Brown University1.858.1%1st Place
-
13.33Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
-
12.0Boston University0.561.9%1st Place
-
12.03Fairfield University0.592.1%1st Place
-
11.35Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
-
15.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Olin Guck | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Jack Roman | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 17.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 15.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 7.5% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.