← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.45+3.89vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.51+7.65vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.24+6.42vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.03+2.38vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.95+1.75vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.57+2.18vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.16+4.39vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.85-1.05vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.84-1.45vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.70-1.95vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.69+0.61vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.26-2.19vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.05-2.97vs Predicted
-
14Boston University0.56-2.17vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University0.59-3.17vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.60-8.05vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.78vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89Harvard University2.4515.4%1st Place
-
9.65Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
-
9.42Brown University1.244.5%1st Place
-
6.38Brown University2.039.5%1st Place
-
6.75Boston College1.959.4%1st Place
-
8.18North Carolina State University1.576.8%1st Place
-
11.39Tufts University1.162.6%1st Place
-
6.95Brown University1.858.8%1st Place
-
7.55Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
-
8.05Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
-
11.61Tufts University0.692.8%1st Place
-
9.81Northeastern University1.264.0%1st Place
-
10.03University of Rhode Island1.054.3%1st Place
-
11.83Boston University0.562.8%1st Place
-
11.83Fairfield University0.592.3%1st Place
-
7.95Roger Williams University1.605.7%1st Place
-
13.22Olin College of Engineering0.221.5%1st Place
-
15.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.670.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Olin Guck | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
| Jack Roman | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| James Jagielski | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 14.9% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.