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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.67+5.10vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+9.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+7.12vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.69+5.76vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+2.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+4.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30+0.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-1.67vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.00+3.80vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.57vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.95-2.04vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-1.85vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-4.47vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.48-4.16vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.70-6.06vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-8.46vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.48-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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11.7Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.12Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.33Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.8SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.62Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Aras | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| David Hernandez | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ted Green | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 18.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Ben Spector | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.