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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+8.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+8.19vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69+7.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.41vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+3.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+4.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30+0.47vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36+2.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35+1.72vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-0.74vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-1.63vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.67-7.09vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.48-3.36vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-4.90vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.66vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.95vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College4.05-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.19Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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6.41Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.72Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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10.64University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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13.05SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| David Hernandez | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Graham Landy | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| William Bailey | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
| Evan Aras | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Ted Green | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 23.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.