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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+1.89vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+1.12vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.20vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-0.68+0.54vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.65-0.49vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.66+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.96-2.00vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Penn State Behrend0.4123.5%1st Place
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3.12Syracuse University0.1920.2%1st Place
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2.8Rochester Institute of Technology0.4926.9%1st Place
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4.54Colgate University-0.689.1%1st Place
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4.51Syracuse University-0.659.1%1st Place
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6.13Hamilton College-1.662.9%1st Place
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5.0University of Rochester-0.966.9%1st Place
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6.99Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.351.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 23.5% | 22.7% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexa Whitman | 20.2% | 20.9% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Cole Bender | 26.9% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Pearlson | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% |
| Braden Haulman | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Patterson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 31.3% | 23.8% |
| Kasym Qazi | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 8.9% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 19.2% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.