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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+1.88vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+1.12vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-0.68+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.96+1.13vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-2.27vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.65-1.47vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-0.05vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-1.66-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Penn State Behrend0.4124.9%1st Place
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3.12Syracuse University0.1920.5%1st Place
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4.59Colgate University-0.688.8%1st Place
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5.13University of Rochester-0.965.8%1st Place
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2.73Rochester Institute of Technology0.4926.6%1st Place
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4.53Syracuse University-0.658.8%1st Place
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6.95Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.351.9%1st Place
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6.08Hamilton College-1.662.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 24.9% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexa Whitman | 20.5% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Pearlson | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 4.9% |
| Kasym Qazi | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 9.3% |
| Cole Bender | 26.6% | 23.6% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Braden Haulman | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 19.3% | 56.6% |
| Andrew Patterson | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 29.8% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.