← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College4.05+7.70vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.67+4.07vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.55+3.65vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.35+7.35vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University4.31+2.42vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.67+4.18vs Predicted
-
7Brown University4.30+0.47vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.48+2.88vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin3.36+2.46vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.67+0.41vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.92-1.78vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.44vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami3.69-3.13vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.95-5.38vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.72-5.12vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.65vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.70-6.84vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.00-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.7Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.07Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
-
6.65Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
11.35Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
7.42Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
10.18Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
-
7.47Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
10.88University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
10.41Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.22Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.56U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.62College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.88Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
-
9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
10.16Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
12.75SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Evan Aras | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| William Bailey | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| David Hernandez | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% |
| Ben Spector | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Ted Green | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.