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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+1.69vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.57vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19-0.09vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-0.68+0.30vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-1.66+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.96-1.26vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-0.37vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.20-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Penn State Behrend0.4126.5%1st Place
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2.57Rochester Institute of Technology0.4927.9%1st Place
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2.91Syracuse University0.1922.9%1st Place
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4.3Colgate University-0.689.2%1st Place
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5.71Hamilton College-1.663.6%1st Place
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4.74University of Rochester-0.966.3%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.351.6%1st Place
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6.45Syracuse University-2.201.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Farrar | 26.5% | 24.8% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Cole Bender | 27.9% | 26.2% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Alexa Whitman | 22.9% | 21.4% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Jack Pearlson | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 1.9% |
Andrew Patterson | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 25.6% | 16.0% |
Kasym Qazi | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
Benjamin Swanson | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 42.4% |
Anselm Neville-Rhody | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 26.8% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.