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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+6.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.67+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.48+6.84vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+4.03vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+3.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+3.00vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35+3.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.17vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.69-0.77vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.30-4.18vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-1.69vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.70-4.27vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.72-5.12vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-5.78vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-8.34vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.00-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.61Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.03Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.43Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.88Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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10.22Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Evan Aras | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Ben Spector | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Ted Green | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.