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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.66+8.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.67+3.17vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+7.29vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+2.43vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+3.93vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92+2.08vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.95+0.85vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.70+0.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70+0.33vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.48+0.07vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-5.19vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-1.72vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.30-6.75vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.00-2.13vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-5.78vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-8.33vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.69-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.93Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.97Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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6.81Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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12.87SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.22Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Evan Aras | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% |
| William Bailey | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Ben Spector | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Graham Landy | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ted Green | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 22.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| David Hernandez | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.