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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+1.69vs Predicted
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2Colgate University-0.68+2.33vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.40vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.19-1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.96-0.38vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.66-0.20vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.20-0.58vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Penn State Behrend0.4127.3%1st Place
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4.33Colgate University-0.688.2%1st Place
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2.6Rochester Institute of Technology0.4927.4%1st Place
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2.86Syracuse University0.1922.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Rochester-0.967.8%1st Place
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5.8Hamilton College-1.663.2%1st Place
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6.42Syracuse University-2.202.1%1st Place
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6.69Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.351.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 27.3% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Pearlson | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Cole Bender | 27.4% | 25.7% | 21.2% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 22.1% | 23.4% | 22.8% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kasym Qazi | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Patterson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 25.5% | 16.7% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 27.0% | 33.1% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 25.3% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.