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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.19+1.93vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.55vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.41-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.96+0.65vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-1.66+0.79vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.20+0.50vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-0.68-2.66vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Syracuse University0.1923.0%1st Place
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2.55Rochester Institute of Technology0.4928.6%1st Place
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2.62Penn State Behrend0.4126.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Rochester-0.966.6%1st Place
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5.79Hamilton College-1.662.8%1st Place
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6.5Syracuse University-2.202.1%1st Place
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4.34Colgate University-0.688.8%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.352.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Whitman | 23.0% | 20.9% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cole Bender | 28.6% | 25.9% | 20.9% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 26.1% | 26.4% | 22.1% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kasym Qazi | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 21.5% | 20.5% | 11.6% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Patterson | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 24.8% | 16.8% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 28.6% | 34.8% |
| Jack Pearlson | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 23.6% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.