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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+6.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.52vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.95+6.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.67+1.88vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+6.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+3.89vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.09vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+1.80vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.72+0.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.70+0.14vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-3.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.58vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.00-0.44vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.92-5.32vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-2.50vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.48-5.11vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-5.48vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College4.05-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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12.56SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.5Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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11.52Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Graham Landy | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Spector | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Evan Aras | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Ted Green | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 18.8% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.