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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.19+1.92vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.57vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-0.78+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.96-0.21vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.20+0.61vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.66-1.15vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Syracuse University0.1922.9%1st Place
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2.57Rochester Institute of Technology0.4929.1%1st Place
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2.69Penn State Behrend0.4125.5%1st Place
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4.46Colgate University-0.788.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Rochester-0.966.5%1st Place
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6.61Syracuse University-2.201.8%1st Place
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5.85Hamilton College-1.663.6%1st Place
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6.12Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.832.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alexa Whitman | 22.9% | 22.1% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Cole Bender | 29.1% | 25.0% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Anthony Farrar | 25.5% | 24.1% | 22.7% | 15.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Hurley White | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
Kasym Qazi | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 6.3% |
Anselm Neville-Rhody | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 23.0% | 42.8% |
Andrew Patterson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 26.5% | 19.7% |
Serena Aumick | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 20.7% | 24.1% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.