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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+0.84vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.13+1.41vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.41-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.46-1.25vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.04-0.75vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.04-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of Notre Dame1.370.5%1st Place
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3.41Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.75Purdue University0.410.2%1st Place
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2.75University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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4.25Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.25Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 49.1% | 27.7% | 15.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 9.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 33.4% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Gus Arndt | 18.5% | 25.6% | 26.3% | 22.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 19.0% | 25.3% | 25.4% | 21.8% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.