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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.67+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.31+1.67vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.55+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.02+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.10-0.99vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.17+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.04-0.95vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.44-1.06vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Wisconsin1.6749.9%1st Place
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3.67University of Minnesota0.3112.0%1st Place
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5.07Northwestern University-0.556.4%1st Place
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4.12University of Michigan0.029.8%1st Place
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4.01University of Chicago0.1010.8%1st Place
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6.33Northwestern University-1.173.2%1st Place
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6.05University of Michigan-1.043.9%1st Place
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6.94Northwestern University-1.442.1%1st Place
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8.84Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.7%1st Place
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8.11University of Saint Thomas-2.161.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Styslinger | 49.9% | 26.9% | 14.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fergus Munro | 12.0% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Ward | 9.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 4.5% |
| Connor Caplis | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 10.0% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 19.7% | 53.9% |
| Brady Boland | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 29.3% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.