← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.60vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University0.19+0.92vs Predicted
-
3Penn State Behrend0.41-0.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester-0.96+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-2.20+1.55vs Predicted
-
6Colgate University-0.78-1.48vs Predicted
-
7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-0.85vs Predicted
-
8Hamilton College-1.66-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Rochester Institute of Technology0.4927.5%1st Place
-
2.92Syracuse University0.1923.2%1st Place
-
2.67Penn State Behrend0.4125.8%1st Place
-
4.79University of Rochester-0.967.1%1st Place
-
6.55Syracuse University-2.202.0%1st Place
-
4.52Colgate University-0.787.5%1st Place
-
6.15Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.832.9%1st Place
-
5.81Hamilton College-1.664.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 27.5% | 25.2% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexa Whitman | 23.2% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 25.8% | 26.5% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kasym Qazi | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 5.7% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 42.0% |
| Hurley White | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 4.0% |
| Serena Aumick | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 27.3% |
| Andrew Patterson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 24.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.