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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.41+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.37-0.20vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.46-0.28vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.04+0.27vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.13-1.59vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.04-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Purdue University0.410.2%1st Place
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1.8University of Notre Dame1.370.5%1st Place
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2.72University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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4.27Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
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3.41Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.27Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Arndt | 18.6% | 24.1% | 24.9% | 23.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Power | 49.2% | 28.0% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 19.1% | 25.3% | 27.9% | 20.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 20.2% | 60.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 9.4% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 31.4% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 20.2% | 60.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.