← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Penn State Behrend0.41+0.69vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University0.19-0.12vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester-0.96+0.74vs Predicted
-
5Colgate University-0.78-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83+0.11vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University-2.20-0.43vs Predicted
-
8Hamilton College-1.66-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Rochester Institute of Technology0.4928.2%1st Place
-
2.69Penn State Behrend0.4126.0%1st Place
-
2.88Syracuse University0.1922.3%1st Place
-
4.74University of Rochester-0.967.1%1st Place
-
4.55Colgate University-0.787.9%1st Place
-
6.11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.832.5%1st Place
-
6.57Syracuse University-2.202.0%1st Place
-
5.84Hamilton College-1.663.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 28.2% | 24.9% | 20.0% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 26.0% | 23.7% | 22.1% | 17.0% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 22.3% | 23.4% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kasym Qazi | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| Hurley White | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Serena Aumick | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 25.5% | 26.4% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 22.7% | 41.9% |
| Andrew Patterson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 24.1% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.