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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+0.58vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-1.04+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.63+1.30vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.13-1.10vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.41-2.61vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.04-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Notre Dame1.370.6%1st Place
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3.83Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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2.9Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.39Purdue University0.410.2%1st Place
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3.83Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 58.6% | 28.3% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 4.4% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 39.9% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.7% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 59.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 11.9% | 23.8% | 34.0% | 22.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Gus Arndt | 22.4% | 34.4% | 27.8% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 4.4% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 39.9% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.