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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.61+1.81vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-1.95+2.50vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.54-1.20vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-0.45-2.44vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.11-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Syracuse University-0.6123.9%1st Place
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4.5Hamilton College-1.956.8%1st Place
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3.6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0712.8%1st Place
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2.8University of Rochester-0.5423.8%1st Place
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2.56Penn State Behrend-0.4528.0%1st Place
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4.74Syracuse University-2.114.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin DeLessio | 23.9% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Levine | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 25.7% | 35.4% |
| Elliot Tindall | 12.8% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 12.5% |
| Abby Eckert | 23.8% | 22.1% | 22.8% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 4.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 28.0% | 25.9% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 24.8% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.