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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.38vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.61+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.54-0.47vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-0.60vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-1.95-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Penn State Behrend-0.4528.9%1st Place
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2.6Syracuse University-0.6125.7%1st Place
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2.53University of Rochester-0.5427.1%1st Place
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3.4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0712.0%1st Place
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4.09Hamilton College-1.956.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 28.9% | 29.4% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 5.0% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 25.7% | 23.6% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 8.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 27.1% | 23.9% | 25.0% | 16.6% | 7.3% |
| Elliot Tindall | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 30.9% | 23.9% |
| Alexander Levine | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.