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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+0.81vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.13+1.38vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-1.04+1.27vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.41-1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.40-2.22vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.04-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of Notre Dame1.370.5%1st Place
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3.38Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.27Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
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2.76Purdue University0.410.2%1st Place
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2.78University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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4.27Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 50.3% | 28.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 9.2% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 33.3% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 62.9% | 0.0% |
| Gus Arndt | 17.8% | 26.6% | 25.4% | 21.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Irwin | 18.8% | 23.4% | 26.7% | 23.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 62.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.