← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rochester-0.54+1.92vs Predicted
-
2Penn State Behrend-0.45+0.77vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-0.61+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-0.13vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.99-1.39vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College-1.95-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92University of Rochester-0.5422.7%1st Place
-
2.77Penn State Behrend-0.4525.6%1st Place
-
3.05Syracuse University-0.6120.8%1st Place
-
3.87Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0710.9%1st Place
-
3.61Syracuse University-0.9914.1%1st Place
-
4.77Hamilton College-1.955.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Eckert | 22.7% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Bryce Nill | 25.6% | 22.1% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 20.8% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Elliot Tindall | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 18.9% |
| Collin Ross | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 14.4% |
| Alexander Levine | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.