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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+0.90vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.13+1.47vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.83-0.57vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.04+0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.40-2.11vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.04-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Notre Dame1.370.5%1st Place
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3.47Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.43Purdue University0.830.2%1st Place
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4.31Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
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2.89University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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4.31Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 47.2% | 27.0% | 16.5% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 8.3% | 14.2% | 21.2% | 35.2% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 25.0% | 31.0% | 25.0% | 14.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.0% | 22.4% | 27.6% | 24.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.