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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+0.92vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.83+0.42vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.13+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.40-1.10vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.04-0.69vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.04-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Notre Dame1.370.4%1st Place
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2.42Purdue University0.830.3%1st Place
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3.46Purdue University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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4.31Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.31Indiana University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 44.3% | 29.7% | 17.7% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 25.3% | 30.8% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Evan Williams | 10.1% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 34.9% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.6% | 20.7% | 28.7% | 24.1% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 18.2% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle McKee | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 18.2% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.