← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+1.50vs Predicted
-
2Penn State Behrend-0.45+0.64vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.54-0.14vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-0.61-1.11vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-3.75+0.69vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College-1.95-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6428.1%1st Place
-
2.64Penn State Behrend-0.4525.4%1st Place
-
2.86University of Rochester-0.5419.8%1st Place
-
2.89Syracuse University-0.6120.0%1st Place
-
5.69Syracuse University-3.751.1%1st Place
-
4.42Hamilton College-1.955.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Maguire | 28.1% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Nill | 25.4% | 23.8% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 8.8% | 0.5% |
| Abby Eckert | 19.8% | 22.2% | 23.1% | 22.7% | 11.2% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 20.0% | 21.0% | 22.4% | 24.3% | 10.9% | 1.3% |
| Gabriella Maldonado | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 82.7% |
| Alexander Levine | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 51.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.