← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.45+1.89vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.84+3.48vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+2.68vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.59+0.75vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.30+0.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.56+0.59vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.74-2.75vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.18-2.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.82-2.80vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89Harvard University2.4528.5%1st Place
-
5.48Roger Williams University1.848.6%1st Place
-
5.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.257.5%1st Place
-
4.75Tufts University1.5910.4%1st Place
-
5.1College of Charleston1.309.7%1st Place
-
6.59University of Vermont0.565.2%1st Place
-
4.25Brown University1.7414.5%1st Place
-
5.47Bowdoin College1.188.1%1st Place
-
6.2University of Rhode Island0.826.1%1st Place
-
8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robby Meek | 28.5% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Drew Mastovsky | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
Max Katz-Christy | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
Gus Macaulay | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
Charlie Allen | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
Gavin Sanborn | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 13.8% |
Cam Spriggs | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Ethan Danielson | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
Owen Grainger | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 8.7% |
Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.