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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+2.40vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.24+0.90vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.25+2.28vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.60+0.58vs Predicted
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6Williams College-1.12+4.76vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.37+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.53vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.55+2.84vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.35-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.74-1.46vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-0.44vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.89-2.96vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79-4.42vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.43-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Rhode Island1.8023.2%1st Place
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3.71Salve Regina University0.4618.9%1st Place
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3.9Roger Williams University1.2417.4%1st Place
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6.28Boston University0.257.0%1st Place
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5.58Connecticut College0.609.1%1st Place
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10.76Williams College-1.121.8%1st Place
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8.37University of New Hampshire-0.373.3%1st Place
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8.53University of New Hampshire-0.383.2%1st Place
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11.84Bates College-1.551.6%1st Place
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8.33Amherst College-0.353.8%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont-0.742.2%1st Place
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11.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.200.8%1st Place
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10.04McGill University-0.891.8%1st Place
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9.58Salve Regina University-0.792.6%1st Place
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8.57Fairfield University-0.433.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 23.2% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 18.9% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 17.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Sean Lund | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 28.8% |
| Nat Edmonds | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Will Kelleher | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Cole Perra | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 23.9% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Jane Matthews | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.