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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+3.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+1.77vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.24+1.25vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.37+4.10vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.60+0.21vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.43+2.02vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.55+4.65vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.89+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.29-1.23vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.79-0.48vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.12-0.53vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.38-3.84vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.74-3.74vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-0.35-5.95vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Boston University1.0112.8%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island1.8019.8%1st Place
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4.25Roger Williams University1.2415.6%1st Place
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4.14Salve Regina University0.4617.3%1st Place
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9.1University of New Hampshire-0.373.2%1st Place
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6.21Connecticut College0.607.6%1st Place
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9.02Fairfield University-0.433.9%1st Place
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12.65Bates College-1.550.9%1st Place
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10.68McGill University-0.892.4%1st Place
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8.77University of Connecticut-0.293.1%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University-0.791.9%1st Place
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11.47Williams College-1.121.6%1st Place
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9.16University of New Hampshire-0.383.3%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont-0.742.2%1st Place
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9.05Amherst College-0.353.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 19.8% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 15.6% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 17.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 28.0% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Nielsen Gordon | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 13.7% |
| Sean Lund | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Will Kelleher | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Nat Edmonds | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Cole Perra | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.