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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+3.30vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.67+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84+0.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.43+0.37vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+0.06vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.09+0.08vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.58+1.28vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.93+1.38vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.48vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.90+0.23vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-3.79vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.82-4.01vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.41-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of Vermont1.0618.3%1st Place
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6.16Boston University0.439.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island0.6711.7%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont0.8413.2%1st Place
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5.37Connecticut College0.4311.1%1st Place
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6.06Salve Regina University0.978.2%1st Place
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7.08Amherst College0.096.7%1st Place
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9.28Bates College-0.583.2%1st Place
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10.38Salve Regina University-0.932.3%1st Place
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8.52McGill University-0.364.0%1st Place
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11.23Williams College-0.901.9%1st Place
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10.57University of New Hampshire-0.992.4%1st Place
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9.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.523.1%1st Place
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9.99Fairfield University-0.823.4%1st Place
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11.66University of New Hampshire-1.411.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 18.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Purcell | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Madison Suh | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 20.8% |
| Henry Poynter | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.