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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+3.96vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.43+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+5.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.67+0.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.43+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.99+3.63vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.90+3.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97-2.93vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.42vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.93-0.62vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.58-2.74vs Predicted
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13Amherst College0.09-6.09vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.82-4.03vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.41-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of Vermont0.8413.7%1st Place
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5.28Connecticut College0.4311.4%1st Place
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4.31University of Vermont1.0617.6%1st Place
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9.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.523.5%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island0.6711.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University0.438.5%1st Place
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10.63University of New Hampshire-0.992.7%1st Place
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11.23Williams College-0.901.8%1st Place
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6.07Salve Regina University0.978.5%1st Place
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8.58McGill University-0.364.2%1st Place
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10.38Salve Regina University-0.932.8%1st Place
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9.26Bates College-0.582.9%1st Place
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6.91Amherst College0.096.9%1st Place
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9.97Fairfield University-0.823.0%1st Place
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11.57University of New Hampshire-1.411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 17.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 20.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.7% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Madison Suh | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Cunniff | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.