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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+3.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.10+4.89vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.67+1.30vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+0.95vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.58+3.22vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.090.00vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.82+1.95vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.43-3.71vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.87-0.95vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93-1.74vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.36-4.67vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.41-2.48vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.90-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Vermont0.8414.8%1st Place
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6.89Boston University0.107.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Vermont1.0617.3%1st Place
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5.3University of Rhode Island0.6712.1%1st Place
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5.95Salve Regina University0.9710.1%1st Place
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9.22Bates College-0.583.7%1st Place
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7.0Amherst College0.096.8%1st Place
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9.95Fairfield University-0.822.8%1st Place
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5.29Connecticut College0.4311.3%1st Place
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10.44University of New Hampshire-0.992.3%1st Place
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10.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.872.6%1st Place
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10.26Salve Regina University-0.932.4%1st Place
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8.33McGill University-0.363.7%1st Place
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11.52University of New Hampshire-1.411.1%1st Place
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10.95Williams College-0.901.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 14.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 17.3% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Madison Suh | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Poynter | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% |
| Keira Fowler | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 25.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.