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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.10+5.82vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+3.81vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.36+5.55vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.82+5.91vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.43+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.84-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.67-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.06-3.87vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.93+1.39vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.09-2.93vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.60vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.58-2.83vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.87-2.91vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.41-2.38vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.90-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Boston University0.107.1%1st Place
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5.81Salve Regina University0.9710.1%1st Place
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8.55McGill University-0.364.8%1st Place
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9.91Fairfield University-0.822.6%1st Place
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5.12Connecticut College0.4311.8%1st Place
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4.73University of Vermont0.8414.5%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island0.6710.8%1st Place
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4.13University of Vermont1.0617.9%1st Place
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10.39Salve Regina University-0.932.1%1st Place
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7.07Amherst College0.096.2%1st Place
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10.4University of New Hampshire-0.992.5%1st Place
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9.17Bates College-0.584.2%1st Place
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10.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.872.8%1st Place
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11.62University of New Hampshire-1.411.1%1st Place
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10.98Williams College-0.901.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Korzinek | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 17.9% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% |
| Madison Suh | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% |
| Harrison Nash | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Keira Fowler | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 25.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.