Race 2A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Grainger 5.2% 7.5% 6.7% 8.8% 8.8% 10.9% 11.6% 14.1% 16.4% 9.9%
Drew Mastovsky 7.6% 8.8% 9.6% 11.0% 10.9% 12.7% 12.0% 11.6% 11.5% 4.5%
Robby Meek 28.0% 23.7% 16.8% 10.9% 10.0% 5.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Charlie Allen 9.5% 9.3% 11.7% 11.8% 12.4% 11.9% 10.5% 11.1% 8.4% 3.4%
Cam Spriggs 16.4% 13.4% 14.5% 14.3% 12.6% 10.5% 8.1% 5.2% 3.5% 1.4%
Gavin Sanborn 5.1% 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 8.5% 8.8% 13.0% 14.0% 19.5% 12.3%
Max Katz-Christy 6.6% 8.6% 8.5% 10.1% 10.1% 12.0% 12.2% 14.2% 11.9% 5.8%
Ethan Danielson 8.6% 8.3% 10.6% 10.8% 11.7% 12.3% 12.8% 12.0% 9.0% 3.9%
Gus Macaulay 11.8% 12.8% 12.6% 12.6% 11.7% 11.6% 11.2% 7.9% 6.1% 1.7%
Katherine Mason 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 8.1% 13.3% 57.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.