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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.36+1.54vs Predicted
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3Denison University0.68+0.75vs Predicted
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5Miami University0.32-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.46-1.79vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.62-3.09vs Predicted
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8Ohio University0.05-3.13vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.67-2.81vs Predicted
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11Miami University-0.70-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Michigan State University1.360.3%1st Place
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3.75Denison University0.680.2%1st Place
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4.4Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Toledo0.460.1%1st Place
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3.91Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.87Ohio University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.19Ohio State University-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.13Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Weiland | 33.1% | 25.2% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tony Colazzo | 15.4% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
| John Salisbury | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Corinne Sackett | 13.2% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Madeline Beck | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 37.2% |
| Chloe Beck | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.7% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.