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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.84+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.67+2.31vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.09+3.00vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.58+4.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-0.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.10-0.12vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36+0.59vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.82+1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.99vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.93-0.80vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.43-6.71vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.36vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.99-3.48vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.90-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Vermont1.0618.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Vermont0.8413.5%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island0.6711.8%1st Place
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7.0Amherst College0.097.0%1st Place
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9.48Bates College-0.582.2%1st Place
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5.88Salve Regina University0.9711.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University0.106.6%1st Place
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8.59McGill University-0.364.2%1st Place
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10.11Fairfield University-0.822.5%1st Place
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9.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.523.7%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University-0.932.6%1st Place
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5.29Connecticut College0.4310.8%1st Place
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11.64University of New Hampshire-1.411.8%1st Place
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10.52University of New Hampshire-0.992.3%1st Place
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11.05Williams College-0.901.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 18.1% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Purcell | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madison Suh | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 27.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.