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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University0.68+2.72vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.32+2.42vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.36-0.36vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.67+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.46-0.79vs Predicted
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7Miami University-0.70-0.89vs Predicted
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9Ohio University0.05-4.03vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.62-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Denison University0.680.2%1st Place
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4.42Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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2.64Michigan State University1.360.3%1st Place
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6.17Ohio State University-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Toledo0.460.1%1st Place
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6.11Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.97Ohio University0.050.1%1st Place
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3.76Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Colazzo | 15.3% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| John Salisbury | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 31.7% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 36.1% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 4.1% |
| Chloe Beck | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 34.2% |
| Madeline Beck | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 13.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 15.4% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.