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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.09+6.26vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.58+7.59vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.80+5.43vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.10+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.52vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.82+1.54vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.13vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.43-5.49vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93-1.08vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.67-7.53vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.73vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.99-3.71vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.90-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Amherst College0.097.5%1st Place
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9.59Bates College-0.583.8%1st Place
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4.29University of Vermont1.0618.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Vermont0.8413.9%1st Place
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10.43University of Connecticut-0.802.8%1st Place
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6.05Salve Regina University0.979.3%1st Place
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7.21Boston University0.106.9%1st Place
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9.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.2%1st Place
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10.54Fairfield University-0.821.9%1st Place
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8.87McGill University-0.364.2%1st Place
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5.51Connecticut College0.439.6%1st Place
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10.92Salve Regina University-0.932.4%1st Place
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5.47University of Rhode Island0.6710.9%1st Place
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12.27University of New Hampshire-1.411.1%1st Place
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11.29University of New Hampshire-0.991.5%1st Place
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11.87Williams College-0.901.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Suh | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 18.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% |
| Anthony Purcell | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 26.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.