← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
3University of Toledo0.46+1.08vs Predicted
-
4Miami University0.32+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University0.05-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-0.67-0.84vs Predicted
-
8Miami University-0.70-1.83vs Predicted
-
10Ohio State University0.62-6.13vs Predicted
-
11Denison University0.68-7.15vs Predicted
-
12Michigan State University1.36-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08University of Toledo0.460.1%1st Place
-
4.42Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
-
4.87Ohio University0.050.1%1st Place
-
6.16Ohio State University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
6.17Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
-
3.87Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
-
3.85Denison University0.680.2%1st Place
-
2.57Michigan State University1.360.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fortesue | 12.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% |
| John Salisbury | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
| Madeline Beck | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 11.3% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 35.0% |
| Chloe Beck | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 35.4% |
| Corinne Sackett | 13.3% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Tony Colazzo | 15.2% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Bill Weiland | 32.5% | 25.7% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.