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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.32+3.36vs Predicted
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2Denison University0.68+1.77vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.36-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.46-2.80vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.62-4.10vs Predicted
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9Ohio University0.05-4.14vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.67-3.83vs Predicted
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11Miami University-0.70-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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3.77Denison University0.680.1%1st Place
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2.63Michigan State University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.2University of Toledo0.460.1%1st Place
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3.9Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.86Ohio University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.17Ohio State University-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.1Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salisbury | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
| Tony Colazzo | 15.0% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Bill Weiland | 31.3% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
| Corinne Sackett | 12.9% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Beck | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.2% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 37.1% |
| Chloe Beck | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.