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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.46+3.09vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.36+0.65vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.62+0.93vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.67+2.15vs Predicted
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7Ohio University0.05-2.07vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.67-3.89vs Predicted
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11Denison University0.68-7.15vs Predicted
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12Miami University0.32-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Toledo0.460.1%1st Place
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2.65Michigan State University1.360.3%1st Place
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3.93Ohio State University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.15Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.93Ohio University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.11Ohio State University-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.85Denison University0.680.2%1st Place
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4.29Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fortesue | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Bill Weiland | 30.0% | 26.1% | 17.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Corinne Sackett | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Colin Via | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 35.2% |
| Madeline Beck | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 11.1% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 34.3% |
| Tony Colazzo | 16.1% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| John Salisbury | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.