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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.38+3.16vs Predicted
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2Miami University1.20+0.83vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.02+1.98vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.66-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.40-2.78vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.69-1.88vs Predicted
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9Miami University-0.45-3.22vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.34-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Ohio State University0.380.1%1st Place
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2.83Miami University1.200.3%1st Place
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4.98Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.74Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Toledo0.400.1%1st Place
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6.12Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.78Miami University-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.19Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwendolyn Mulvey | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 5.2% |
| Stuart Fisher | 28.5% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Evan Graves | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 16.3% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Irwin | 10.8% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Tara Foster | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 38.0% |
| Peter Hilsch | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 20.4% | 27.9% |
| David Aspery | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.