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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arantxa Argibay 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 7.6% 8.1% 10.8% 13.4% 12.3% 12.2% 9.8% 7.4% 2.9%
Katie Nelson 11.6% 13.2% 13.1% 13.8% 12.8% 12.8% 9.4% 7.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Emily Allen 27.7% 19.8% 17.5% 12.6% 10.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Martina Amunarriz 3.2% 3.0% 5.1% 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 10.2% 11.5% 14.4% 15.3% 12.7% 7.4%
Lily Schwartz 4.5% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.6% 9.7% 11.7% 12.6% 13.9% 12.6% 8.2% 3.2%
Emma Shakespeare 16.9% 15.8% 16.4% 13.7% 13.1% 10.4% 7.0% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
KA Hamner 4.4% 4.7% 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 10.6% 10.7% 13.7% 13.0% 10.7% 6.9% 2.9%
Heidi Hicks 8.0% 10.2% 8.4% 11.4% 12.0% 12.0% 12.4% 10.1% 8.3% 5.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Olivia Sowa 15.7% 18.5% 15.3% 14.1% 12.3% 9.8% 6.6% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Rylie Cataldo 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 3.6% 5.0% 8.3% 11.1% 18.6% 42.5%
Zuzanna Barska 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.5% 6.6% 10.7% 15.0% 23.2% 25.3%
Lauren Mellinger 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 4.1% 4.3% 4.3% 6.5% 10.3% 11.6% 16.7% 20.3% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.