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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.40+3.10vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+2.32vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.45+2.71vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.66-0.28vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.38-1.71vs Predicted
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8Miami University1.20-5.23vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-0.02-3.98vs Predicted
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11Denison University-0.69-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Toledo0.400.1%1st Place
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4.32Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.71Miami University-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.72Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
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4.29Ohio State University0.380.1%1st Place
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2.77Miami University1.200.3%1st Place
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5.02Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.06Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Irwin | 14.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| David Aspery | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Peter Hilsch | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 28.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 16.3% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Gwendolyn Mulvey | 11.2% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Stuart Fisher | 27.7% | 24.8% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Evan Graves | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| Tara Foster | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.