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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.03+4.81vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+1.50vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09-1.08vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-2.87vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.21+2.36vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.52-2.54vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17-1.95vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.54-0.02vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.47-3.00vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91North Carolina State University1.2617.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Miami-0.034.5%1st Place
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4.5Florida State University0.7712.1%1st Place
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6.94Rollins College-0.063.5%1st Place
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3.92University of South Florida1.0917.5%1st Place
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3.13Jacksonville University-1.3825.2%1st Place
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9.36University of Florida-1.211.1%1st Place
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5.46University of South Florida0.528.6%1st Place
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7.05Eckerd College-0.174.1%1st Place
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9.98Embry-Riddle University-1.541.1%1st Place
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8.0North Carolina State University-0.473.5%1st Place
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8.93Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 17.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 17.5% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 25.2% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 25.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 40.6% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.