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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.40+3.11vs Predicted
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2Miami University1.20+0.81vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.66+0.71vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.45+0.75vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.02-1.00vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.34-4.73vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.38-5.71vs Predicted
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11Denison University-0.69-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Toledo0.400.1%1st Place
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2.81Miami University1.200.3%1st Place
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3.71Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
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5.75Miami University-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.0Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.27Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.29Ohio State University0.380.1%1st Place
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6.06Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Irwin | 12.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Stuart Fisher | 27.5% | 24.9% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 17.6% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Peter Hilsch | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 27.0% |
| Evan Graves | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| David Aspery | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% |
| Gwendolyn Mulvey | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| Tara Foster | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 20.9% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.