Race 3A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cam Spriggs 13.2% 13.6% 15.1% 13.8% 13.7% 11.5% 8.6% 5.9% 3.9% 0.7%
Robby Meek 30.6% 21.2% 16.4% 12.8% 9.0% 5.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 8.8% 8.7% 9.8% 9.4% 11.8% 11.3% 13.2% 13.0% 9.2% 4.9%
Max Katz-Christy 7.1% 8.6% 9.0% 10.5% 10.5% 11.7% 12.2% 12.2% 12.6% 5.5%
Gavin Sanborn 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.9% 7.5% 10.0% 11.8% 15.5% 19.7% 12.6%
Charlie Allen 9.4% 11.1% 9.7% 10.7% 12.8% 11.7% 11.5% 10.4% 9.2% 3.5%
Gus Macaulay 10.5% 12.6% 12.2% 13.0% 12.3% 11.4% 10.4% 9.2% 6.2% 2.1%
Ethan Danielson 8.8% 10.2% 10.9% 10.5% 9.7% 11.7% 12.6% 11.5% 9.4% 4.7%
Katherine Mason 1.6% 1.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.0% 5.5% 8.0% 13.4% 56.3%
Owen Grainger 5.2% 7.3% 7.8% 9.4% 8.8% 11.2% 11.3% 13.1% 16.4% 9.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.