Race 3A

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lily Schwartz 4.7% 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 8.2% 9.3% 10.2% 12.2% 13.1% 11.1% 9.2% 3.0%
Emily Allen 23.8% 21.1% 15.8% 15.4% 9.8% 6.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 16.9% 15.2% 15.5% 13.2% 12.8% 10.2% 7.8% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Olivia Sowa 16.0% 15.6% 15.2% 14.1% 14.4% 10.0% 6.5% 4.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Arantxa Argibay 4.8% 5.7% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.4% 11.8% 13.5% 10.9% 7.3% 2.5%
Zuzanna Barska 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 3.3% 3.7% 6.2% 8.6% 9.7% 13.4% 21.9% 25.7%
Katie Nelson 13.3% 13.8% 14.2% 12.8% 11.6% 12.0% 9.2% 6.8% 3.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Heidi Hicks 8.7% 8.4% 9.4% 11.6% 10.9% 13.0% 11.2% 10.9% 7.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.7%
KA Hamner 5.1% 5.1% 7.0% 7.4% 9.1% 9.8% 11.0% 11.7% 13.5% 10.8% 6.8% 2.8%
Martina Amunarriz 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 5.4% 7.2% 9.8% 11.3% 14.8% 15.8% 12.9% 7.7%
Lauren Mellinger 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 7.0% 9.8% 11.8% 17.4% 18.9% 14.2%
Rylie Cataldo 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 5.1% 7.1% 11.2% 19.6% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.