Race 4B

acton-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Stuart Fisher 29.6% 25.5% 16.5% 11.3% 8.8% 4.9% 2.3% 1.1%
Elizabeth Dust 16.3% 16.1% 17.9% 14.6% 13.5% 10.0% 8.5% 3.1%
Thomas Irwin 12.3% 13.9% 13.8% 14.7% 14.2% 14.2% 11.2% 5.7%
Tara Foster 4.6% 3.9% 6.0% 7.0% 9.8% 11.4% 18.7% 38.6%
Gwendolyn Mulvey 11.4% 12.7% 15.8% 13.3% 15.8% 13.9% 12.4% 4.7%
Evan Graves 8.7% 8.9% 10.4% 13.3% 12.9% 16.2% 14.2% 15.4%
David Aspery 12.3% 12.4% 12.6% 15.5% 13.6% 13.6% 11.9% 8.1%
Peter Hilsch 4.8% 6.6% 7.0% 10.3% 11.4% 15.8% 20.8% 23.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.